Monitoring & Early Warning

Know Before It
Reaches the Newswire.

Standing geopolitical coverage built around a watchlist of your actual exposure — your assets, your counterparties, your corridors, your jurisdictions. Retained, with the same analysts throughout.

Discuss a Retainer All Geopolitical Services

Retainer

Format

Continuous

Coverage

Named Analysts

Access

The Watchlist

Coverage Starts With
Your Exposure Map

Before we monitor anything, we build a written map of where you are exposed. Everything the retainer produces is filtered against that map — which is why our coverage of a region can look nothing like anyone else’s coverage of the same region.

Assets

Where Your Value Sits

Facilities, plant, inventory, licenses, concessions, data centers, and people — located precisely enough that an event in a specific province or port matters to us because it matters to you.

Counterparties

Who You Depend On

Joint venture partners, distributors, single-source suppliers, major customers, lenders, and agents — tracked by name, with their own ownership and political exposure carried forward into the watch.

Corridors

How Goods and Money Move

Shipping lanes, chokepoints, border crossings, pipeline and cable routes, correspondent banking relationships, and the payment rails your treasury actually uses.

Jurisdictions

Whose Rules Bind You

Every jurisdiction with a claim on your operations — through incorporation, listing, licensing, nexus, currency, or the nationality of your technology. That list runs well past the countries where you keep staff.

Cadence & Formats

Four Ways the Coverage Reaches You

Coverage has to fit the rhythm of how your organization actually makes decisions. The mix below is set during onboarding and adjusted at quarterly review.

Written Outlook

Fixed cadence

A standing analytical product delivered on an agreed rhythm — monthly or every two weeks depending on the portfolio. Changes in assessment are stated as changes, so you can see what moved and why without re-reading the whole document to find the new sentence.

Trigger-Based Alerts

When a threshold is crossed

During onboarding we define, in writing and with you, the thresholds that warrant waking someone up. When one is crossed, an alert goes out with the event, the assessed implication for your specific exposure, and the recommended immediate action. No alert fires for anything else.

On-Demand Analyst Calls

As required

Direct access to the analysts who write your coverage — you reach the person whose name is on the assessment. Used before a board meeting, during a developing situation, or when someone needs a view on something the outlook has not addressed.

Annual Watchlist Reset

Yearly

Exposure changes. Once a year we rebuild the watchlist from scratch against the current footprint — retiring what no longer matters and picking up the assets, partners, and jurisdictions you have acquired since.

The Difference

This Is Not a News Feed

Most organizations already receive more geopolitical information than anyone reads. Almost none of it is written with your exposure in mind, and nobody in the stream answers for a judgment about it.

Named analysts who stay on your account

You know who covers your regions. They know your footprint, your risk appetite, and what your board already worries about. An analyst who has followed your exposure for two years catches things a fresh reader misses.

Tied to your exposure map

Coverage is filtered against a documented map of where you are actually exposed. Every report we send traces back to a named asset, counterparty, corridor, or jurisdiction on that map, and says which one.

Judgments with confidence levels

Every assessment states what we think will happen, how confident we are, and what evidence would change our mind. A low-confidence judgment is labeled as one. Analysts are accountable for their calls over time.

Written to be acted on

Each product answers the question a decision-maker would ask next: what does this mean for us, what should we do, and by when. Every observation is carried through to its implication for your business.

For the published side of this work, see our expert analysis and insights. Retained coverage is the same analytical standard, addressed to one client.

AI-Enhanced

Machine Reach, Human Judgment

Horizon scanning runs across sources in the languages they were written in — local press, parliamentary and regulatory publications, court filings, procurement notices, and vernacular social channels that never surface in English-language coverage. Signal triage clusters what the scan returns and pushes anomalies against your watchlist to the top of an analyst’s queue.

The machine widens the aperture and cuts the volume down to what an analyst can read. The assessment itself is written by a person — every judgment in every product carries an analyst’s name and an analyst’s confidence level.

Explore AI Advisory

The Engagement

How the Retainer Runs

Onboarding is deliberate. The quality of everything that follows depends on how honestly the exposure map is built in the first two weeks.

Exposure Mapping

Weeks 1–2

Structured sessions with risk, legal, treasury, operations, and security to build the exposure map. This is the foundation of everything the retainer produces, and it is the part clients most often discover they did not have written down.

Watchlist & Threshold Design

Weeks 2–3

Translation of the exposure map into a named watchlist and a set of alert thresholds agreed in writing. We also agree the escalation path — who receives what, at what hour, and who has authority to convene.

Standing Coverage

Ongoing

Outlooks on the agreed cadence, alerts on trigger, analyst calls on demand. Your analysts sit in the same conversation over time, so context accumulates from one request to the next.

Review & Reset

Quarterly and annually

Quarterly review of whether the coverage is landing where it needs to and whether the thresholds are calibrated. Annual rebuild of the watchlist against the current footprint.

Country & Market Entry Risk

3–6 weeks

The deep assessment that usually precedes standing coverage — and that defines the first watchlist.

Scenario Planning & Wargaming

1–2 day workshop

Rehearse the response before the alert fires, so the escalation path has been walked at least once.

Government Affairs